How did you find MMT?

I thought I would ask everyone a question – how did you find MMT? IMO it is really important to understand what draws people to MMT in the first place. I’m sure that such experiences can be used identify strengths and weaknesses in how MMT is being disseminated into the public.

I’ll start off with my not too interesting introduction to MMT.

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Conveying the MMT message

This post is a general expression of my frustration with how MMT conveys concepts to the public. IMO there is some unrealistic expectations demanded of newcomers in terms of vocabulary and general decision making. There appears to be a belief particularly by academic MMTers that the public should conform to strict academic terms and definitions. MMTers should remind themselves that although words have a certain meaning in their mind, that doesn’t mean everyone else holds the same meaning. Since MMTers created the blogs in order to disseminate ideas it would serve MMT well to choose words that are best suited at conveying meaning to the public.

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The Trouble with Carney’s J.G Analysis

Yesterday John Carney posted an article titled The Trouble with a Job Guarantee. After reading the title I knew a response was needed. Rather than go on about how great the J.G is I will simply question some of the basic premises upon which Mr Carney makes his argument.

The Trouble with a Job Guarantee

There is no trouble. Continue reading

Implementing a commonly controlled financial system

With the advent of crypto-currencies, the possibility of implementing a commonly controlled financial system is within reach. I will outline the general processes of how a planned crypto-currency will function. This is by no means a complete ‘idea’ and I’m sure that there are different ways of achieving the same thing. Hopefully you will gain some insight into what is possible with modern cryptographic technology. At the least, I hope that you can take away some ‘basic building blocks’ that could be used to create alternative solutions.

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The JG is like the ULTIMATE Capacitor

I/O buffer is a storage of state information, whereas the Capacitor is a storage of energy(output).

As the demand for output increases, then the energy in the Capacitor will diminish. This is when macro-policy is expected to reduce demand across the economy, so that energy levels in the capacitor can return to some defined level. If the amount of energy stored in the capacitor is too much then macro-policy is expected to increase demand for energy, or the nature of the capacitor stimulates the energy demand of other components proportional to the amount of energy in the capacitor(JG Wage).

Translated, this means as the demand for output increases, then additional output will be drawn from the JG pool and brought online. At the same time it is expected that macro-policy will respond in such a way to replenish the supplies of the JG pool. If the JG pool is too large then macro-policy is expected to stimulate demand, or the very nature of the JG will stimulate the demand of the private sector proportional to the size of the JG pool.

So the behavior of the JG is to too smooth out output demands across the economy. So how do you compare one buffer stock to another? Using the Capacitor analogy and a few of the principles outlined in the previous article, then a quality Capacitor will be defined by the following:

  • It’s connectedness with all other components.     This means how well is the Capacitor able to get and receive energy to/from all other board components. If one sector of the economy dramatically needs additional output, then the Capacitor needs to be able to swiftly respond. Likewise, if output diminishes the Capacitor needs to be able to absorb the lost energy so that it is not wasted.
  • The energy-type in the capacitor.     Does it store petrol? Electricity? Spring-power? Grain? Water?
  • The energy convertibility of the energy-type.      Economic firms produce output as energy-forms, so being able to convert the energy-type to and from other energy-forms will impact on the connectedness of the Capacitor(JG Buffer) with all other components(Economic firms).

Based on these principles it is obvious why the J.G is a better Capacitor-type than all other predecessors. Firstly human labor is connected with all components, and is the true source of output. It is the universal starting point of all output. Secondly human labor is responsible for converting energy-types into energy-forms.

So rather than storing electricity in the Capacitor, the Capacitor stores the actual logic gates required by all other components. This indirectly reduces the demand for energy by components on the board. Also these logic gates are the true source of logic output since they convert the electricity into useful output.

So the JG doesn’t store energy directly, rather it stores the universal energy converter, which is needed by all firms. By increasing the JG pool, then energy forms will have decreased convertibility. This will reduce demand and maybe even build up energy inventories. This is the equivalent to computer board components storing energy since they do not have the logic gates to convert electricity into different forms.

 

 

Is the Job Guarantee Optional?

Recently there seems to be a dramatic increase in interest surrounding the merits of the Job Guarantee and its place in MMT. Is it optional or not? I will attempt to show that the answer to this question is not simple. I will definitely show that asserting that the Job Guarantee should not be a core component of MMT is wrong. Rather the Job Guarantee is apart of an infinite number of solutions to maintaining the balance between prices, distribution and production.

Assertion: The Job Guarantee is the second best solution(second to my own :)) to maintaining the balance between prices, distribution and production(Economic Trinity).

I have seen a few comments where the assertion that a buffer-stock of some resource is needed in order to stabilize prices. I don’t agree with this because unstable prices in one sector of the economy will still adversersely affect the remaining sectors despite the existence of a infinite buffer-stock. If one sector of an economy is involved in the production of an essential resource and is acting as a exploitative monopoly(EM), then they can demand any amount of any other resource and the remaining economy will be forced to pay. So this allows the monopoly to demand infinite amount of the buffer-stock, which is going cause unstable prices. Anyway this is ‘unusual’ but it sets up the EM boundary condition of prices.

Now lets assume that the economy is operating under normal conditions, rather than under a EM constraint. The infinite buffer-stock hypothesis makes the implicit assumption that an amount of buffer-stock can be traded for any other resource. This property can be used to stabilize prices throughout the economy. Increasing the supply of buffer-stock satisfies demand, thus having a deflationary effect upon prices.

Defn Two-Way Transformation

Consequently it is assumed that this buffer-stock can be traded for other resources which will transform increased demand for other resources into increased demand for the buffer-stock. Also this transformation is two-way, meaning an supply increase in the buffer-stock also transforms into a supply-increase of all other resources. This transformation must hold, otherwise the economy will enter into a EM-like state.

I think it’s obvious that there are two problematic assumptions: (1) The buffer-stock is infinite, (2) There exists a reliable two-way transformation between the buffer-stock and all other resources.

The first assumption is a fact of nature for all buffer-stocks and thus any system aiming to manage the ‘economic-trinity'(prices, production, distribution) must be aware of this state. The second assumption is really a comparative measure of any ‘economic-trinity-proposal’. Moving forward clearly not all buffer-stocks are eligible. Now I’m going to make a guess here and assert that the ideal buffer stock is in some way related to energy. The ideal buffer stock will be related to the acquisition and transformation of energy forms. But this is abstract, and best discussed some other time.

So the objective is to choose the buffer-stock that has the best two-way transformation with all other resources. The Job Guarantee has some interesting properties that need to be highlighted. Firstly lets assume that all Job Guarantee jobs are non-productive, for example people walk on a treadmill for the working day. Whatever activity it is, I think at the minimum the activity must facilitate speedy exchange between private-sector-employment job-guarantee-work private-sector-employment. IMO this property is paramount. For this people are paid, which increases the demand for output.

A second assumption must also be made, that there is idle means of production and excess environmental capacity, meaning there are environmental resources that can be easily exploited by the means of production. Presumably there is a ‘multi-dimensional measure’ that describes this state across the entire economy which includes a time-factor that indicates the amount of time it would take to bring additional output online once human labor is operating the particular means of production.

The second assumption implicitly states that the economy is not in a EM-like state, in fact the economy is a reasonable distance away from it. Hopefully it is self-evident that given these two assumptions then paying people to run on treadmills is not inflationary. If the economy is in a EM-like state, then the Job Guarantee may be inflationary, but this is no guarantee. Even so all people on welfare would also be causing inflation as well, which raises an interesting question, would you rather inflation be caused by couch-sitters or walkers? If the economy is in a EM-like state then which group of idle workers is more likely to contribute to the breaking of the EM?

EM-like state, J.G may be inflationary but no guarantee

Given the nature of Capitalism is that economic agents pursue more ‘Capital'(profit), then a EM-like economy-state will be providing opportunities for profit. Economic agents will be attempting to increase output to (1) meet the demands of the EM and (2) replace the EM. Such output will be increased by increasing the necessary means of production and searching for more environmental resources. These activities will require human labor. As economic agents respond, they will be trying to increase output, which will demand additional human labor. At the same time it is likely that there would be some macro-regulatory changes occurring in order to break and/or satisfy the EM, which will cause changes to the economy’s worker structure. This dynamic period will see workers being exchanged from a sector of the economy, the J.G pool, and back into the economy. Therefore the effectiveness of the economy to respond to the EM will be proportional to dynamic ability of the economy. Assuming that all responses are to break the EM, then the ability to break the EM is proportional to being dynamic. In this situation I think it is significantly more favorable to have the J.G over unemployment benefits.

So the biggest advantage of the J.G is that it prevents or reduces human labor time wastage. The ability for economies to respond to EM threats requires a very mobile labor force. The mobility of this labor force is detrimentally affected by workers becoming absolutely idle, meaning unemployed.  If the labor force is immobile then Capitalists can not respond to profit opportunities caused by EM price distortions. In fact, the ability of Capitalists to respond to additional output demand will be proportional to the dynamic response of the economy.

Job Guarantee currently provides the best contempory method of price control

The ability of an economy to respond to changes in output-demand-structure will determine its ability to stabilize prices. The longer it takes to bring additional output online in response to additional demand, the longer the economy suffers a cost-inflation. The harder it is to take capacity offline, then a deflation occurs. Since labor is necessary to operate the means of production, then it currently has the best Two-Way Transformation with all other resources. Inflation control could then be achieved using fiscal policy only.

Weather or not the J.G should be a fundamental part of MMT is an open question(although a little itch in my mind suggests that it is provably fundamental). However, IMO the merit of the J.G is unquestionable and opponents have not given it enough thought or have ideological biases against it.